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Debunking “Guns Make Us Safer” – Houston, Texas Edition

Is it really too much to ask for security and peace of mind when having a good time with family and friends? Without fear of the threat of armed violence and extremism?

We’ve all heard it before. Chicago is the most gang-ridden and grueling place in America [and it’s all Obama’s fault!]. Illinois gun laws don’t work. California and Illinois are criminals. Thanks to lax gun laws, the murder and crime rates in Houston are far lower than in Chicago, New York, Portland and Los Angeles.

Wait a minute, is the last sentence correct? We can find out by looking at the statistics.

Murder Rates 2021 (YTD)

city Number of murders PRICE PER 100,000 AWAY
NEW YORK 417 4.74 11/14

The angel

339 8.70 11/13
Chicago 719 26.18 11/20
HOUSTON 419 18.18 04/11
PORTLAND 75 11.49 11/18

None of the above cities have extremely low crime rates, but the fact that Houston has a higher number of murders (and therefore a higher per capita rate) than any of the above cities except Chicago is illuminating. Illinois has more laws regarding gun safety, but be aware that driving from Chicago’s Loop to Indiana (a state with less stringent gun laws) is roughly the same as driving from downtown Houston to Spring or Cypress, conservative suburbs that lax noticeably support gun laws.

However, while Houston can boast lower homicide rates than Chicago, the violent crime rate is higher in Houston thanks to the higher number of robbery-related incidents, many of which are armed, and serious assault. In 2020 Houston had a violent crime rate of 1,279 per 100,000 population, while Chicago had a rate of 968 per 100,000. In addition, only five cities (with a population of 25,000 or more) exceeded Houston’s robbery rate of 373.2 per 100,000 in 2020; even Chicago’s robbery rate is lower at 292.1 per 100,000. And when it comes to metropolitan violent crime, the Houston area has one of the highest violent crime rates in metropolitan areas of any size, at 632 per 100,000 residents; Chicagoland didn’t even crack the top 50.

Murder and robbery aside, the Houston area has a high overall death rate from firearms compared to subways of similar or larger size. According to 2019 CDC data, Harris County, Texas (Houston) and Cook County, Illinois (Chicago) have comparable firearm death rates (per 100,000) of 13.75 and 13.86, respectively. But the Chicago suburbs have fewer gun deaths than the Houston suburbs.

Gun deaths by district (PER 2019 CDC data)

district # of the gun dead PER 100,000
DuPage, IL 34 3.68
kane that 33 6.20
Lake, il 29 4.16
want, il 62 8.98
brazoria, TX 42 11.22
Fortress curve, tx 78 9.61
galveston, tx 46 13.44
montgomery, tx 75 12.35

The above four Illinois counties have nearly the same number of gun deaths as Fort Bend and Montgomery combined, although the Illinois counties have roughly the same population as the Chicago city limits and about twice as many as Fort Bend and Montgomery combined. Not to mention the fact that Harris County (648) has nearly three times as many gun deaths as New York City (224) and about as many as Los Angeles County (670), a county with more than twice as many residents Harris.

Are there any other factors besides the Arms Act? Naturally! Especially when it comes to the general economic conditions. Both Houston and Chicago face unemployment rates that are above the national average. Houston lags behind other big cities when it comes to adopting a high-tech or green economy, which makes Big Oil still a huge impact on the local economy. The presence of hospitals and the (or lack of) social safety net are also major factors influencing crime rates.

But there is little, if any, evidence that relaxing gun laws would reduce crime (or that criminals would fear the general public). Carrying without a permit, which came into force in September, has not led to a reduction in the crime rate or even a noticeable increase in “justified homicides”; In fact, Houston witnessed about 60 murders last October. Houston still has to give in after the rage shoots. Also, the “right to bear arms” has not resulted in Houston having a low level of property crime.

It would be a shame for everyone if Dan Crenshaw, Ted Cruz and Greg Abbott were held accountable for the high level of violent crime in Houston, especially if Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, Kamala Harris and Joe Biden promote policies that reduce crime, economic misery, Oppression and racism! / S

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California that election could go down in history as the moment when the long, slow decline of a great state finally stopped. Please get out and vote YES for the recall and for Larry Elder. https://t.co/MhE3dJWSiZ

– Dan Crenshaw (@DanCrenshawTX) September 8, 2021

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To the Californians moving to Texas:

Do you remember the high taxes, pesky regulations, and socialist agenda that went on in California?

We don’t believe in that.

We believe in less government and more individual freedom.

If that’s okay with you, fit right in. Https://t.co/Qv5nKaD315

– Greg Abbott (@GregAbbott_TX) January 23, 2020

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